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  1. 2 ημέρες πριν · 538s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

  2. 4 Οκτ 2024 · An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.

  3. 9 Σεπ 2024 · Harris carries the Rust Belt. Harris wins Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, matching Biden’s 2020 outcome in those states. Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it...

  4. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter.

  5. 3 ημέρες πριν · Who’s ahead in Texas? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

  6. 26 Αυγ 2024 · 538 ranks current polls by accuracy and gives more weight to polls deemed more reliable and adds its own proprietary analysis that introduces geographic and demographic to suggest particular outcomes, state-by-state.

  7. Sep 27, 2024. 538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

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