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  1. The CME FedWatch Tool analyzes the probability of FOMC rate moves for upcoming meetings. Using 30-Day Fed Fund futures pricing data, which have long been relied upon to express the market’s views on the likelihood of changes in U.S. monetary policy, the tool visualizes both current and historical probabilities of various FOMC rate change ...

  2. www.cmegroup.com › markets › interest-ratesCME FedWatch - CME Group

    What is the likelihood that the Fed will change the Federal target rate at upcoming FOMC meetings, according to interest rate traders? Use CME FedWatch to track the probabilities of changes to the Fed rate, as implied by 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices.

  3. 30 Αυγ 2024 · Get a detailed look at the Fed Funds futures probability tree calculations used by the FedWatch Tool to determine the probabilities of a Fed rate move at upcoming FOMC meetings. Calculation model example

  4. The CME FedWatch Tool forecasts the probability of a rate hike (or rate cut) at the FOMC meeting based on the prices of 30-Day Federal Funds (ZQ) futures released traded on CME. The futures prices reflect market expectations of the effective federal funds rate (EFFR).

  5. 31 Ιουλ 2024 · The CME FedWatch Tool translates these market prices into probabilities, offering a succinct view of the market's expectations and assigning a probability for how much the Fed will raise,...

  6. Staying abreast of how monetary policy influences the markets is a full-time job. That’s why many professional futures traders choose to outsource the analytics to an independent information provider. Learn more about how to use the CME FedWatch tool to trade FED Funds futures.

  7. FedWatch uses fed funds futures prices to display current and historical probabilities of FOMC rate outcomes. By Ivan Castano for CME Group. Predictions about the Federal Reserve’s plans...

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