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18 Αυγ 2021 · In the 2020 election, FiveThirtyEight yet again way overestimates the strength of Joe Biden. RealClearPolitics also did but was slightly more accurate. ----- My Conclusion: 538 takes other peoples polls, changes the data, and then calls their version more accurate.
21 Ιαν 2016 · Scraping data from RCP (RealClearPolitics) RCP provides a wonderful web interface for looking at aggregated poling data. For example, shown here is a lovely chart (via D3.js) which shows you the RCP average polling data for each candidate on the democratic side as a time series where you can sort by a custom time range or various selections like 1year, 6 months, 14 days, etc.
Eugene Robinson: “This was a sort of very fraught and sad time for the Biden family, and we know how important family is to the president. Do you hang up on your son at any time, but certainly in a moment like that? Probably the answer is no.” (realclearpolitics.com) submitted 12 hours ago by Vibranium2222 to r/Conservative. 3 comments ...
18 Οκτ 2020 · Does anyone know why 538's polling average has Biden steady at approximately +10.5 while RCP has him dropping to under +9?
12 Ιουν 2024 · RealClear Investors and Crest Media is the owner of RealClearPolitics. John McIntyre is the Co-founder & CEO, Tom Bevan is the Co-founder & Publisher and Erin Waters is the President of the RealClear Media Group.
22 Μαρ 2020 · r/ReallyClearPolitics: A subreddit dedicated to clarifying the American political landscape through analysis and vetted articles, historical context…
" I believe RealClearPolitics may be designed to inflate Trump’s poll numbers and make democrats less comfortable about the election." You're obviously new to the party. RCP has been doing this forever. For at least 2 decades, they've always put the thumb on the scale of the Republican.
30 Αυγ 2020 · I trust the polls. In 2016 the polls were accurate, despite everyone freaking out. I think they had Hillary at a 75% chance of winning. 25% odds isn’t bad it shouldn’t surprise anyone that Trump won.
18 Αυγ 2021 · In the 2020 election, the differences were less dramatic and they both overestimated the (other) column, but yet again RealClearPolitics was slightly more accurate. My conclusion is that even if 538's numbers are more correct in 2024, it is because a broken clock is right twice a day. 538's methods are junk, which have produced junk results.
8 Οκτ 2022 · Before 538 did polling averages RCP was very handy for doing that (though you always had to take with a grain of salt because they didn't do any of what 538 did to, e.g., prevent the averages from being slanted by just having a lot of R- or D-leaning pollsters producing more polls).
