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What is the likelihood that the Fed will change the Federal target rate at upcoming FOMC meetings, according to interest rate traders? Use CME FedWatch to track the probabilities of changes to the Fed rate, as implied by 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices.
- User Guide
The CME FedWatch Tool analyzes the probability of FOMC rate...
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- User Guide
The CME FedWatch Tool analyzes the probability of FOMC rate moves for upcoming meetings. Using 30-Day Fed Fund futures pricing data, which have long been relied upon to express the market’s views on the likelihood of changes in U.S. monetary policy, the tool visualizes both current and historical probabilities of various FOMC rate change ...
2 ημέρες πριν · View historical fixings for EFFR and SOFR, and analyze basis spreads between Eurodollar, Fed Fund, and SOFR futures. Total Cost Analysis Analyze the all-in costs of managing interest rate exposure using listed futures versus over-the-counter (OTC) instruments like swaps.
CME Fedwatch Tool
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest...
31 Ιουλ 2024 · The CME FedWatch Tool incorporates a useful “dot plot” that visually represents the projected federal funds rates from the individual FOMC members for different time frames.
The CME FedWatch Tool forecasts the probability of a rate hike (or rate cut) at the FOMC meeting based on the prices of 30-Day Federal Funds (ZQ) futures released traded on CME. The futures prices reflect market expectations of the effective federal funds rate (EFFR).