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What is the likelihood that the Fed will change the Federal target rate at upcoming FOMC meetings, according to interest rate traders? Use CME FedWatch to track the probabilities of changes to the Fed rate, as implied by 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices.
- User Guide
Using 30-Day Fed Fund futures pricing data, which have long...
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- User Guide
Using 30-Day Fed Fund futures pricing data, which have long been relied upon to express the market’s views on the likelihood of changes in U.S. monetary policy, the tool visualizes both current and historical probabilities of various FOMC rate change outcomes for a given meeting date.
Stay up-to-date on potential Federal Funds target rate moves. Get ahead of the curve with enhanced access to data on the probabilities of FOMC rate moves, ensuring you are always informed with the latest market expectations.
31 Ιουλ 2024 · The CME FedWatch Tool incorporates a useful “dot plot” that visually represents the projected federal funds rates from the individual FOMC members for different time frames.
The chart outlines the FedWatch probability forecasts for each upcoming FOMC meetings. The CME FedWatch Tool forecasts the probability of a rate hike (or rate cut) at the FOMC meeting based on the prices of 30-Day Federal Funds (ZQ) futures released traded on CME.
30 Μαΐ 2024 · The image below lists the CME Group 30-Day Federal Funds futures used to calculate via the FedWatch Tool. In this example, the price for the May 2024 contract (/ZQK24, yellow arrows) suggested traders expected the fed funds rate to be around 5.315% that month (100 – 94.685 = 5.315).
13 Ιουλ 2023 · FedWatch, a tool from CME Group, has become a favorite indicator to assess where overnight rates will go as the Fed works to tackle stubborn inflation.
