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What is the likelihood that the Fed will change the Federal target rate at upcoming FOMC meetings, according to interest rate traders? Use CME FedWatch to track the probabilities of changes to the Fed rate, as implied by 30-Day Fed Funds futures prices.
- User Guide
The CME FedWatch Tool analyzes the probability of FOMC rate...
- Video Demo
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- User Guide
The CME FedWatch Tool analyzes the probability of FOMC rate moves for upcoming meetings. Using 30-Day Fed Fund futures pricing data, which have long been relied upon to express the market’s views on the likelihood of changes in U.S. monetary policy, the tool visualizes both current and historical probabilities of various FOMC rate change ...
31 Ιουλ 2024 · The CME FedWatch Tool is an online resource from the CME Group that gives investors, analysts, and economists a measure of the market's expectations for future monetary policy from the Federal...
30 Αυγ 2024 · The CME FedWatch Tool calculates unconditional probabilities of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting outcomes to generate a binary probability tree.
Erin accesses the CME’s online portal and clicks on the tab (in this case, the 16 Sep20 tab) within the FedWatch tool. An easy-to-read bar chart that includes the current Fed Funds Target rate (in basis points, bps) and possible hike or cut scenarios is automatically produced.
30 Μαΐ 2024 · The FedWatch Tool applies a formula based on daily trading in federal funds futures contracts and spits out percentage-based probabilities on where the benchmark funds rate may be following the conclusion of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings held at various points during the year.
The FedWatch tool from CME Group has emerged as a reliable resource for determining Federal Reserve rate moves. Who’s using it, and how does it work?
