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  1. 2 ημέρες πριν · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls,...

  2. 2 ημέρες πριν · In our forecast of the popular vote in Pennsylvania, the race has shifted from a 0.6-point lead for Harris on Oct. 1 to a 0.2-point lead for Trump; In Michigan, a 1.8-point Harris lead is now...

  3. 4 Οκτ 2024 · This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 Election Forecast from 538. It is current as of the map timestamp. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning.

  4. 5 ημέρες πριν · 538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich talk about the role polling can have in a democracy, from measuring issues voters consider important to providing insight into presidential elections.

  5. 1 ημέρα πριν · With three weeks to go, The New York Times’s polling average shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump essentially tied across the seven key battleground states. It’s hard to think of any election ...

  6. 29 Αυγ 2023 · We can use a logistic regression model to estimate a presidential candidate’s chances of winning their party’s nod given their off-year August polling numbers. Based on that model, a generic ...

  7. 12 Δεκ 2022 · What Americans Think Of The Biden Impeachment Inquiry. The Senate Is Losing One Of Its Few Remaining Moderate Republicans. Americans were more divided, though, over what actions they would like to...

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