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28 Μαρ 2019 · Winter temperature outlook for December-February 2018-2019 issued on November 15, 2018. The colors denote places where the forecast odds favor a much colder than usual winter (blue colors) or much warmer than usual winter (red), or where the probability of a cold winter, a warm winter, or a near-normal winter are all equal (white).
- Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook
How might a developing El Niño influence conditions over the...
- NOAA's 2019-20 winter outlook for temperature, precipitation, and ...
Each winter, NOAA forecasts the odds for each of three...
- Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook
22 Οκτ 2018 · How might a developing El Niño influence conditions over the U.S. this winter? The Climate Prediction Center’s Mike Halpert gives us the details as he discusses NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook.
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecast for the upcoming winter months of December-February: Temperatures: Warmer-than-normal is slightly favored. This is due to a developing weak El Niño. Precipitation: Drier than normal very slightly favored over the Great Lakes.
17 Οκτ 2019 · Each winter, NOAA forecasts the odds for each of three possible temperature outcomes: well above, well below, and near average. Places where forecasters determined that well above average temperatures are most likely this winter are colored in shades of red.
18 Οκτ 2018 · The 2018 U.S. Winter Outlook (December through February): Temperature Warmer-than-normal conditions are anticipated across much of the northern and western U.S., with the greatest likelihood in Alaska and from the Pacific Northwest to the Northern Plains.
Summary: Climate forecasters at the Climate Prediction Center predict a weak El Nino to occur during the meteorological winter months of 2018-2019 (Dec-Jan-Feb). This combined with other global factors should favor Near Normal Temperatures, and Above Normal Precipitation in north and central Georgia during these months.
–For both winters, CPC outlooks relied on MME forecasts. 2019/20 (2018/2019) was better (worse) prediction. • Follow up questions –In 2018/19, could MME have done better? Depends on what is SNR. –What was the influence of SST anomalies in some other ocean basin, e.g., warmer Indian Ocean in 2019/20?
