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  1. 8 Νοε 2016 · Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump

    • Senate Updated Nov. 8, 2016

      Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016...

    • National Polls

      Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016...

    • Arizona

      Arizona predictions and polling data for the 2016...

    • Colorado

      Colorado predictions and polling data for the 2016...

    • Florida

      Florida predictions and polling data for the 2016...

    • Georgia

      Georgia predictions and polling data for the 2016...

    • Iowa

      Iowa predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential...

    • Maine

      Maine predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential...

  2. 1 ημέρα πριν · This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1. The model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a FiveThirtyEight election forecast 2 and the methodology is largely the same, other than removing COVID-19 provisions introduced for 2020.

  3. Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

  4. 19 Ιαν 2017 · Trump outperformed his national polls by only 1 to 2 percentage points in losing the popular vote to Clinton, making them slightly closer to the mark than they were in 2012.

  5. 11 Νοε 2016 · Our final forecast, issued early Tuesday evening, had Trump with a 29 percent chance of winning the Electoral College. 1 By comparison, other models tracked by The New York Times put Trump’s...

  6. 30 Μαρ 2017 · On Election Day, nearly every public polling firm predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the presidency. The only real debate was by how large a margin. Even leading statistical analysis site FiveThirtyEight.com gave Donald Trump a less than 1 in 3 chance of winning.

  7. 8 Νοε 2016 · First, Clintons overall lead over Trump — while her gains over the past day or two have helped — is still within the range where a fairly ordinary polling error could eliminate it.

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